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2024/04/05 / Erste Group Research

S&P 500: Steigende Gewinne im Q1 erwartet


In der letzten Woche schwächten sich die wichtigsten Leitindizes ab. Der globale Aktienmarktindex fiel in EUR um -2,1%, der S&P 500 notiert in EUR um -2,6% tiefer und der Nikkei 225 gab in EUR -1,8% nach. Der Stoxx 600 zeigte mit einem Minus von -0,4% eine relative Stärke zum Gesamtmarkt.

Aktien Global: Für den S&P 500 beträgt das erwartete Gewinnwachstum im 1Q24 +3,4% (J/J). Die größten jährlichen Gewinnsteigerungen sollten im 1Q die Sektoren Versorger (+23,8%), Technologie (+20,3%) und der Zyklische Konsum (+15,4%) erzielen.

Ausblick: Am Freitag, dem 12.4. startet die US-Berichterstattung für das 1Q mit den Ergebnissen der Großbanken JPMorgan Chase und Citigroup bzw. in der Woche darauf folgen Bank of America, Charles Schwab und Morgan Stanley. Wir erwarten für die nächste Woche eine leichte Abschwächung des globalen Aktienmarktindex.

Aktien Österreich: Der ATX konnte diese Woche mit einem Plus von 1,0% den wichtigen technischen Widerstand bei ca. 3.560 Punkten überwinden. Somit startete der österreichische Leitindex stärker in das 2. Quartal 2024 als die europäischen Märkte, die sich von gestiegenen Zinsen und Rohstoffpreisen leicht gedämpft zeigten. An die Spitze des ATX setzten sich Lenzing und RBI. Mit der nahezu abgeschlossenen Berichtssaison war der Newsflow unternehmensseitig eher dünn, kommende Woche gibt die OMV mit ihrem Trading Update einen Ausblick auf das 1. Quartal 2024.

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General information

AuthorErste Group Research
Date2024/04/05
Languagede
Product nameEquity Weekly
Topic in focusEquities
Economy in focusAustria
Currency in focusEuro
Sector in focusIndustrial Goods & Services
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