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2024/08/23 / Erste Group Research

Economic Surprise Indizes korrigieren


Der globale Aktienmarktindex notiert im Wochenvergleich in EUR wenig verändert (-0,1%). Der Stoxx 600 erzielte mit einem Anstieg von +1,1% eine Outperformance. Der S&P 500 gab in EUR -0,7% nach, der Nikkei 225 befestigte sich in EUR um +4,8%. Der globale Emerging Market Index stieg in der letzten Woche in EUR um +1,1%.

Aktien Global: Die globalen Wirtschaftsdaten weisen derzeit die Tendenz auf, mehrheitlich negativ im Vergleich zu den Konsensus-Erwartungen zu überraschen. Der Blick auf die wichtigsten Regionen bzw. Länder zeigt, dass die Economic Surprise Indizes sowohl für die USA als auch für Europa und China im negativen Bereich notieren. Die aktuelle Abschwächung der globalen Wirtschaftsdaten spiegelt sich deutlich abgeschwächt in einer Seitwärtsentwicklung der Prognosen für das Gewinnwachstum 2024 für den globalen Aktienmarktindex wider. Derzeit geht man demnach für heuer global von einem Gewinnwachstum von +6,1% (J/J) aus.

Ausblick: Nächste Woche am Mittwoch (28.08.) berichtet NVIDIA (Kaufen) über die Geschäftsentwicklung im letzten Quartal. Die Ergebnisse und der Ausblick dieses Konzerns werden die weitere Richtung des Technologiesektors in den nächsten Monaten beeinflussen. Wir erwarten für die nächste Woche einen moderaten Anstieg des globalen Aktienmarktindex.

Aktien Österreich: Der ATX tendierte mit einem Wochenplus von 0,7% leicht fester. In Europa waren zyklische Werte wie Einzelhandel und Automobil gefragt, nur Öltitel standen auf den Verkaufslisten, was sich auch im ATX widerspiegelte. In Österreich stand eine Reihe an Quartals-Updates im Fokus der Investoren. Positive Ergebnisse kamen dabei von Uniqa, PORR und Flughafen Wien. Mayr-Melnhof und SBO verbuchten wie erwartet Gewinnrückgänge.

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General information

AuthorErste Group Research
Date2024/08/23
Languagede
Product nameEquity Weekly
Topic in focusEquities
Economy in focusAustria
Currency in focusEuro
Sector in focusBasic Resources, Construction & Material, Industrial Goods & Services, Insurance, Technology
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Erste Group related products

Name  ISIN# Erste Group products
Kapsch TrafficComAT000KAPSCH90
Mayr-MelnhofAT000093820454
PORRAT00006096070
SBOAT000094665222
UniqaAT000082110377
Vienna Int. AirportAT00000VIE620



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